SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 3, 2026147 days left

Will Adley Rutschman record 20+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

This contract is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

36¢
$318 volume
$300 liquidity
222% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$143

Best sibling

Will Smith 35¢

Ticker

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-ARUTSCHMAN35

Market snapshot

Adley Rutschman in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Adley Rutschman record 20+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?. The displayed quote is 36¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $318. In the KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20 family, this outcome ranks #11 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Adley Rutschman

Family rank

#11 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

36¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 3, 2026

Reported volume

$318

Family context

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20

Quote range

3¢-94¢

Family leader

Elly De La Cruz 94¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 12m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-ARUTSCHMAN35. Family volume: $143.

Price history

36¢ current

+35¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 21, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

35 / 40¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
35¢11
34¢100
30¢500
22¢16
12¢13
AskSize
40¢4
45¢5
46¢108
50¢500
53¢16

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Adley Rutschman records 20+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-ARUTSCHMAN35

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

460.3%

IY (No)

133.4%

Adj IY

230%

CRI

2

Overround

18.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

460.3%
133.4%
Adj IY
230%
2
Overround
18.3%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Technicalrisk

Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter

How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index