Air Canada report Above 87% passenger load factor in Q2 2026
Above 87% is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 9 inside Will Air Canada report Above 8.
Price history
39¢ current
+33¢Contract brief
If Air Canada reports Above 87.0% passenger load factor in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 87%
Rank
#9 of 9
Leader
Above 84% 99¢
Range
39¢-99¢
Family volume
$526
Identifier
KXAC-26AUGPLF-87.0
Jul 22, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
39¢
Ask
41¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$6K
Family rank
#9 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Air Canada report Above 8
Closes
Dec 9, 2026
Family volume
$526
Orderbook snapshot
39 / 41¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Air Canada reports Above 87.0% passenger load factor in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 9, 2026
Identifier
KXAC-26AUGPLF-87.0
Event family
Will Air Canada report Above 8.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$526
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Above 84% 99¢
Current share
0%
Above 84%
kalshi · KXAC-26AUGPLF-84.0
Above 83.5%
kalshi · KXAC-26AUGPLF-83.5
Above 85%
kalshi · KXAC-26AUGPLF-85.0
Above 83%
kalshi · KXAC-26AUGPLF-83.0
Above 84.5%
kalshi · KXAC-26AUGPLF-84.5
Above 85.5%
kalshi · KXAC-26AUGPLF-85.5
Above 86%
kalshi · KXAC-26AUGPLF-86.0
Above 86.5%
kalshi · KXAC-26AUGPLF-86.5
Above 87%
kalshi · KXAC-26AUGPLF-87.0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.