Airbnb Inc. report Above 138 million nights & experiences booked in Q3 2026
Above 138 million is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 1.
Price history
88¢ current
Contract brief
If Airbnb Inc. reports Above 138000000 nights & experiences booked in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 138 million
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
Above 138 million 90¢
Range
26¢-90¢
Family volume
$1
Identifier
KXABNB-26NOVNEB-138000000
Sep 15, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
92¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$412
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 1
Closes
Mar 5, 2027
Family volume
$1
Orderbook snapshot
92 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Airbnb Inc. reports Above 138000000 nights & experiences booked in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 5, 2027
Identifier
KXABNB-26NOVNEB-138000000
Event family
Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 138 million 90¢
Current share
0%
Above 140 million
kalshi · KXABNB-26NOVNEB-140000000
Above 138 million
kalshi · KXABNB-26NOVNEB-138000000
Above 142 million
kalshi · KXABNB-26NOVNEB-142000000
Above 144 million
kalshi · KXABNB-26NOVNEB-144000000
Above 146 million
kalshi · KXABNB-26NOVNEB-146000000
Above 148 million
kalshi · KXABNB-26NOVNEB-148000000
Above 150 million
kalshi · KXABNB-26NOVNEB-150000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.