A’ja Wilson · KXESPYS-26BAWS
A’ja Wilson is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 52¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 17¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside KXESPYS-26BAWS.
Price history
60¢ current
+47¢Contract brief
If A’ja Wilson wins Best Athlete, Women’s Sports at the the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
A’ja Wilson
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
A’ja Wilson 52¢
Range
1¢-52¢
Family volume
$250
Identifier
KXESPYS-26BAWS-AJA
Jul 12, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
52¢
Ask
69¢
Spread
17¢
24h volume
$217
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · KXESPYS-26BAWS
Closes
Jul 16, 2027
Family volume
$250
Orderbook snapshot
52 / 69¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If A’ja Wilson wins Best Athlete, Women’s Sports at the the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 16, 2027
Identifier
KXESPYS-26BAWS-AJA
Event family
KXESPYS-26BAWS.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$250
Outcomes
5
Highest price
A’ja Wilson 52¢
Current share
88%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.