Alannah · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26B
Alannah is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 94¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26B.
Price history
95¢ current
+67¢Contract brief
If Alannah is officially eliminated from Love Island USA: Season 8 Before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Alannah
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Alannah 95¢
Range
1¢-95¢
Family volume
$136K
Identifier
KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-ALA
Jun 25, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
94¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$28K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26B
Closes
Jun 27, 2026
Family volume
$136K
Orderbook snapshot
94 / 95¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alannah is officially eliminated from Love Island USA: Season 8 Before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 27, 2026
Identifier
KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-ALA
Event family
KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26B.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$136K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Alannah 95¢
Current share
21%
Alannah
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-ALA
Sydney
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-SYD
Corey
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-COR
Amora
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-AMO
Chay
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-CHA
Carl
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-CAR
Tierra
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-TIE
Aniya
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26B-ANI
Caleb
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26B-CAL
Kenzie
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26B-KEN
Zach
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26B-ZAC
KC
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26B-KCC
Kayda
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26B-KAY
Jaiden
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-JAI
Corbin
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26B-COR
Trinity
kalshi · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26B-TRI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 95% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.