SimpleFunctions

Corey · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26B

Corey is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26B.

Price history

38¢ current

+24¢
25¢
Jun 23, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Corey is officially eliminated from Love Island USA: Season 8 Before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Corey

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Alannah 82¢

Range

2¢-82¢

Family volume

$82K

Identifier

KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-COR

Jun 23, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

38¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

29¢

Ask

38¢

Spread

24h volume

$129

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26B

Closes

Jun 27, 2026

Family volume

$82K

Orderbook snapshot

29 / 38¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
29¢13
28¢187
25¢200
24¢5
23¢300
AskSize
38¢200
39¢211
40¢60
75¢5
97¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Corey is officially eliminated from Love Island USA: Season 8 Before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 27, 2026

Identifier

KXLIUSAELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-COR

SF Signal
SF Index
34318.09
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

3

VR

0.68

IAR

3.2/h

Overround

4.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3
VR
0.68
IAR
3.2/h
Overround
4.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.