Alex Bores · KXNY12D-26
Alex Bores is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside KXNY12D-26.
Price history
33¢ current
−8¢Contract brief
If Alex Bores wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Alex Bores
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
Micah Lasher 64¢
Range
1¢-64¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KXNY12D-26-ABOR
Jun 14, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
34¢
Ask
35¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · KXNY12D-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
34 / 35¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alex Bores wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
KXNY12D-26-ABOR
Event family
KXNY12D-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Micah Lasher 64¢
Current share
26%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.