Will Alex Bores be the Democratic nominee for NY-12
Will Alex Bores be the Democratic nominee for NY-12 is priced at 50¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
50¢ current
+24¢Contract brief
If Alex Bores wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Alex Bores be the Democratic nominee for NY-12
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$405K
Identifier
KXNY12D-26-ABOR
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
Reported volume
$405K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jun 24, 2026
Family volume
$405K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alex Bores wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 24, 2026
Identifier
KXNY12D-26-ABOR
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$405K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Alex Bores be the Democratic nominee for NY-12 50¢
Current share
100%
Will Alex Bores be the Democratic nominee for NY-12
kalshi · KXNY12D-26-ABOR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.