Alex Bores · KXPRIMARYPLACE-NY12D26-2
Alex Bores is priced at 79¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 74¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXPRIMARYPLACE-NY12D26-2.
Price history
79¢ current
+28¢Contract brief
If Alex Bores finishes in 2nd place in the NY-12 Democratic primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Alex Bores
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Alex Bores 74¢
Range
1¢-74¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXPRIMARYPLACE-NY12D26-2-ABOR
Jun 23, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
74¢
Ask
78¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$945
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · KXPRIMARYPLACE-NY12D26-2
Closes
Jun 23, 2027
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
74 / 78¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alex Bores finishes in 2nd place in the NY-12 Democratic primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 23, 2027
Identifier
KXPRIMARYPLACE-NY12D26-2-ABOR
Event family
KXPRIMARYPLACE-NY12D26-2.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Alex Bores 74¢
Current share
69%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 79% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.