Will Alex Bores finish 2nd in the NY-12 Democratic primary?
Prediction markets currently give a 57% probability that Will Alex Bores finish 2nd in the NY-12 Democratic primary?. This contract trades at 57¢ on Kalshi, closing June 23, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a wide 8¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in Alex Bores' NY-12 primary prospects.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a wide 8¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in Alex Bores' NY-12 primary prospects. The 0¢ price reflects near-zero conviction that Bores finishes second, though the asymmetric implied yields (43.5% Yes vs. 163.8% No) indicate the No side offers substantially better risk-adjusted returns at 82%. With 433 days until the June 2027 primary and no recent price movement from the 66¢ level, this appears to be a stale market with low predictive value.
Resolution rules
If Alex Bores finishes in 2nd place in the NY-12 Democratic primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXPRIMARYPLACE-NY12D26-2-ABOR yes 100