Alex Warren · KX1ALBUM-26DEC
Alex Warren is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KX1ALBUM-26DEC.
Price history
17¢ current
Contract brief
If Alex Warren has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Alex Warren
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Drake 99¢
Range
4¢-99¢
Family volume
$826
Identifier
KX1ALBUM-26DEC-ALE
May 26, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · KX1ALBUM-26DEC
Closes
Dec 27, 2026
Family volume
$826
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alex Warren has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 27, 2026
Identifier
KX1ALBUM-26DEC-ALE
Event family
KX1ALBUM-26DEC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$826
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Drake 99¢
Current share
0%
Drake
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-DRA
Olivia Rodrigo
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-OLIV
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-ARI
Stray Kids
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-STR
Post Malone
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-POS
Future
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-FUT
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-KEN
SZA
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-SZA
Sabrina Carpenter
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-SAB
Lana Del Rey
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-LAN
Nicki Minaj
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-NIC
Lil Uzi Vert
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-UZI
Megan Thee Stallion
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-MEG
Alex Warren
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-ALE
Benson Boone
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-BEN
Fred again..
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-FRE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.