SimpleFunctions

All teams collectively score at least 270 goals in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup

270+ goals is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Will all teams collectively score at least.

Price history

90¢ current

+56¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 27, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If all teams collectively record at least 270 goals during the full tournament (including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

270+ goals

Rank

#1 of 7

Leader

270+ goals 91¢

Range

7¢-91¢

Family volume

$13K

Identifier

KXWCTOTALGOAL-26FT-270

Jun 24, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

90¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

91¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#1 of 7

7 outcomes · Will all teams collectively score at least

Closes

Aug 3, 2026

Family volume

$13K

Orderbook snapshot

91 / 97¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
91¢386
90¢5
89¢387
85¢448
84¢42
AskSize
97¢44
98¢1.4K
99¢311

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If all teams collectively record at least 270 goals during the full tournament (including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 3, 2026

Identifier

KXWCTOTALGOAL-26FT-270

SF Signal
SF Index
9266.47
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

90.6%

IY (No)

9266.5%

Adj IY

9266%

CRI

10

RV

166%

VR

1.72

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

90.6%
9266.5%
Adj IY
9266%
10
RV
166%
VR
1.72
IAR
0.9/h
Overround
2.4%

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.