SimpleFunctions

All teams collectively score at least 330 goals in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup

330+ goals is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 7 inside Will all teams collectively score at least.

Price history

25¢ current

+23¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jun 2, 2026Jun 21, 2026

Contract brief

If all teams collectively record at least 330 goals during the full tournament (including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

330+ goals

Rank

#6 of 7

Leader

270+ goals 91¢

Range

19¢-91¢

Family volume

$10K

Identifier

KXWCTOTALGOAL-26FT-330

Jun 21, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

25¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 21, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

19¢

Ask

22¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#6 of 7

7 outcomes · Will all teams collectively score at least

Closes

Aug 3, 2026

Family volume

$10K

Orderbook snapshot

19 / 22¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
19¢29
18¢40
13¢25
12¢56
9¢205
AskSize
22¢13
23¢193
24¢386
26¢697
37¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If all teams collectively record at least 330 goals during the full tournament (including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 3, 2026

Identifier

KXWCTOTALGOAL-26FT-330

SF Signal
SF Index
2447.50
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will all teams collectively score at least.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$10K

Outcomes

7

Highest price

270+ goals 91¢

Current share

20%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3212.4%

IY (No)

227.0%

Adj IY

2448%

CRI

4

RV

5837%

VR

4.70

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3212.4%
227.0%
Adj IY
2448%
4
RV
5837%
VR
4.70
IAR
1.9/h
Overround
2.6%
LAS
0.24

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.