SimpleFunctions

Amazon Monthly Credit Card Spend for August 2026 above 107

Above 107 is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 11 inside Will Amazon Monthly Credit Card Spend for August 2026 be above 1.

Price history

66¢ current

+29¢
50¢75¢
Aug 4, 2026Aug 9, 2026

Contract brief

If the Carbon Arc Amazon Monthly Credit Card Spend (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 107, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 107

Rank

#6 of 11

Leader

Above 102 95¢

Range

19¢-95¢

Family volume

$30K

Identifier

KXAMZNCC-26SEP07-T107

Aug 9, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

66¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 9, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

63¢

Ask

65¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#6 of 11

11 outcomes · Will Amazon Monthly Credit Card Spend for August 2026 be above 1

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Family volume

$30K

Orderbook snapshot

63 / 65¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
63¢16
62¢151
61¢250
60¢11
59¢200
AskSize
65¢64
66¢254
67¢200
74¢100
93¢64

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Carbon Arc Amazon Monthly Credit Card Spend (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 107, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Identifier

KXAMZNCC-26SEP07-T107

SF Signal
SF Index
2179.01
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

711.7%

IY (No)

2249.4%

Adj IY

2179%

CRI

2

RV

273%

VR

0.99

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

711.7%
2249.4%
Adj IY
2179%
2
RV
273%
VR
0.99
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
6.0%
LAS
0.03

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.