Amy Klobuchar receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial primary
At least 70% is priced at 79¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 81¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will Amy Klobuchar receive at least.
Price history
79¢ current
−9¢Contract brief
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Amy Klobuchar in the 2026 Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial primary is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 70%
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
At least 65% 90¢
Range
6¢-90¢
Family volume
$724
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVMNNOMD26AKLO-70
Aug 9, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
81¢
Ask
84¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$500
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Amy Klobuchar receive at least
Closes
Aug 11, 2027
Family volume
$724
Orderbook snapshot
81 / 84¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Amy Klobuchar in the 2026 Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial primary is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 11, 2027
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVMNNOMD26AKLO-70
Event family
Will Amy Klobuchar receive at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$724
Outcomes
7
Highest price
At least 65% 90¢
Current share
69%
At least 65%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVMNNOMD26AKLO-65
At least 70%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVMNNOMD26AKLO-70
At least 75%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVMNNOMD26AKLO-75
At least 80%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVMNNOMD26AKLO-80
At least 85%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVMNNOMD26AKLO-85
At least 90%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVMNNOMD26AKLO-90
At least 95%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVMNNOMD26AKLO-95
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
Read 79% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.