Andrew Jones · KXMOPRIMARY-01R26
Andrew Jones is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 58¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXMOPRIMARY-01R26.
Price history
62¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Andrew Jones wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 MO-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Andrew Jones
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Andrew Jones 58¢
Range
37¢-58¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXMOPRIMARY-01R26-AJON
Jun 24, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
58¢
Ask
63¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXMOPRIMARY-01R26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
58 / 63¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Andrew Jones wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 MO-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMOPRIMARY-01R26-AJON
Event family
KXMOPRIMARY-01R26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Andrew Jones 58¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.