SimpleFunctions

Angel Reese · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31

Angel Reese is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXVSANGLES-26DEC31.

Price history

41¢ current

+10¢
25¢
Jul 22, 2026Aug 21, 2026

Contract brief

If Angel Reese is an official runway model at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Angel Reese

Rank

#15 of 16

Leader

Gigi Hadid 91¢

Range

30¢-91¢

Family volume

$1

Identifier

KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-ANG

Aug 21, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

41¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 21, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

31¢

Ask

40¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#15 of 16

16 outcomes · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$1

Orderbook snapshot

31 / 40¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
31¢200
12¢40
11¢58
9¢363
4¢78
AskSize
40¢200
67¢53
68¢207
70¢574
89¢124

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Angel Reese is an official runway model at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-ANG

SF Signal
SF Index
617.06
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

617.1%

IY (No)

124.6%

Adj IY

617%

CRI

2

RV

678%

VR

3.06

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

617.1%
124.6%
Adj IY
617%
2
RV
678%
VR
3.06
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
19.3%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.