Aniya and Carl · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2
Aniya and Carl is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2.
Price history
54¢ current
+49¢Contract brief
If Aniya and Carl finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Aniya and Carl
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Aniya and Carl 53¢
Range
1¢-53¢
Family volume
$59K
Identifier
KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-ANCAR
Jul 9, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
53¢
Ask
54¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$11K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Family volume
$59K
Orderbook snapshot
53 / 54¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Aniya and Carl finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Identifier
KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-ANCAR
Event family
KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$59K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Aniya and Carl 53¢
Current share
18%
Aniya and Carl
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-ANCAR
Trinity and Gabriel
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-TRGA
Tierra and KC
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-TIKC
Melanie and Sincere
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-MESI
Beatriz and Gabriel
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-BEGA
Trinity and Bryce
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-TRBR
Aniya and Gabriel
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-ANGA
Beatriz and Zach
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-BEZA
Kenzie and Sean
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-KESE
Kayda and Zach
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-KAZA
Beatriz and Sean
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-BESE
Parmida and Corbin
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-PACO
Jaiden and Sincere
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-JASI
Kenzie and Dylan
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-KEDY
Aniya and KC
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-ANKC
Trinity and KC
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUSARANK-26AUG31R2-TRKC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 54% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.