Aniya · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26
Aniya is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXLIUSAWINNERS-26.
Price history
15¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If Aniya is officially declared the winner of Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Aniya
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Trinity 52¢
Range
1¢-52¢
Family volume
$35K
Identifier
KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-ANI
Jun 23, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Family volume
$35K
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Aniya is officially declared the winner of Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Identifier
KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-ANI
Event family
KXLIUSAWINNERS-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$35K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Trinity 52¢
Current share
6%
Trinity
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-TRI
Bryce
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-BRY
Melanie
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-MEL
Kayda
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-KAY
Caleb
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-
Aniya
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-ANI
Sincere
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-SIN
KC
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-KCC
Zach
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-ZAC
Parmida
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-PAR
Kenzie
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-KEN
Tierra
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-TIE
Corbin
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-COR
Jen
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-JEN
Jaiden
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-JAI
Sean
kalshi · KXLIUSAWINNERS-26-SEA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.