Will Anthony Fauci testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027?

The 22¢ price reflects skepticism about Fauci testifying before Congress in the next 259 days, though the Yes side offers an exceptional 499% implied yield—a notable risk premium suggesting either genuine uncertainty about low-probability events or potential mispricing. With only $580 in open interest and $68 in 24-hour volume, liquidity is thin, making the wide 6¢ spread less reliable for large position sizing. The neutral regime and moderate cliff risk (4/10) suggest the market is fairly stable, but traders should be cautious given the sparse activity and the possibility that Congressional scheduling could shift dramatically if political conditions change.

Resolution rules

If Anthony Fauci has testified in front of Congress after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.

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Regime

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