Anthropic / Claude · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027
Anthropic / Claude is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 78¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027.
Price history
5¢ current
−15¢Contract brief
If Anthropic / Claude airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Anthropic / Claude
Rank
#11 of 16
Leader
OpenAI / ChatGPT 70¢
Range
2¢-70¢
Family volume
$196
Identifier
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-CLAU
Jun 25, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
78¢
Spread
78¢
Reported volume
$327
Family rank
#11 of 16
16 outcomes · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027
Closes
Feb 15, 2027
Family volume
$196
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 78¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Anthropic / Claude airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 15, 2027
Identifier
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-CLAU
Event family
KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$196
Outcomes
16
Highest price
OpenAI / ChatGPT 70¢
Current share
0%
OpenAI / ChatGPT
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-OPEN
Gemini
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-GEMI
Nike
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-NIKE
DoorDash
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-DOOR
Amazon Prime
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-AMAZ
Hims & Hers
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-HIMS
Grok
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-GROK
Jeep
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-JEEP
Coinbase
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-COIN
Allstate
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-ALLS
Zyn
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-ZYN
Anthropic / Claude
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-CLAU
Base44 / Wix
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-BASE
Liquid Death
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-LIOU
Disney+
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-DISN
SpaceX
kalshi · KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-SPAC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.