Aliens · Will Any Halftime Performer perform
Aliens is priced at 49¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 82¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside Will Any Halftime Performer perform.
Price history
49¢ current
+47¢Contract brief
If Any Halftime Performer performs 'Aliens' at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at New York New Jersey Stadium before Jul 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Aliens
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Dai Dai 86¢
Range
8¢-86¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-ALI
Jul 13, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
90¢
Spread
82¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Any Halftime Performer perform
Closes
Jul 20, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 90¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Any Halftime Performer performs 'Aliens' at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at New York New Jersey Stadium before Jul 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 20, 2026
Identifier
KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-ALI
Event family
Will Any Halftime Performer perform.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Dai Dai 86¢
Current share
—
Dai Dai
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-DAI
Aliens
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-ALI
2.0
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-20
4 Minutes
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-4MI
Adventure of a Lifetime
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-ADV
Baby
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-BAB
Beauty And A Beat
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-BEA
Body to Body
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-BOD
Boy With Luv
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-BOY
Bring Your Love
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-BRI
Butter
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-BUT
Can't Remember to Forget You
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-CAN
Chantaje
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-CHA
Clocks
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-CLO
DAISIES
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-DAIS
Dynamite
kalshi · KXWCFINALSONGS-26JUL20-DYN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.