Perfect Game · KXMLBSTAT-26PG
Perfect Game is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
15¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If any pitcher records a perfect game in any game during the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Perfect Game
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$7
Identifier
KXMLBSTAT-26PG-AP
Jul 12, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 52m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$18
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Dec 3, 2026
Family volume
$7
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If any pitcher records a perfect game in any game during the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 3, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBSTAT-26PG-AP
Event family
KXMLBSTAT-26PG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Perfect Game 10¢
Current share
100%
Perfect Game
kalshi · KXMLBSTAT-26PG-AP
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 15% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.