Aug 9, 2026: Before Aug 9, 2026 · Will any Source Agency announce that LeBron James is joining any NBA team after Issuance and before
Aug 9, 2026: Before Aug 9, 2026 is priced at 76¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 33¢ bid, 76¢ ask, 43¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 13 inside Will any Source Agency announce that LeBron James is joining any NBA team after Issuance and before.
Price history
76¢ current
−13¢Contract brief
If it is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies that LeBron James is joining any individual NBA team after Issuance and before Aug 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Aug 9, 2026: Before Aug 9, 2026
Rank
#7 of 13
Leader
Oct 18, 2026: Before Oct 18, 2026 97¢
Range
6¢-97¢
Family volume
$13K
Identifier
KXNBATEAMANNOUNCE-26LJAMES23-809
Jul 10, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
33¢
Ask
76¢
Spread
43¢
24h volume
$150
Family rank
#7 of 13
13 outcomes · Will any Source Agency announce that LeBron James is joining any NBA team after Issuance and before
Closes
Aug 9, 2026
Family volume
$13K
Orderbook snapshot
33 / 76¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If it is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies that LeBron James is joining any individual NBA team after Issuance and before Aug 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 9, 2026
Identifier
KXNBATEAMANNOUNCE-26LJAMES23-809
Event family
Will any Source Agency announce that LeBron James is joining any NBA team after Issuance and before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$13K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Oct 18, 2026: Before Oct 18, 2026 97¢
Current share
1%
Oct 18, 2026: Before Oct 18, 2026
kalshi · KXNBATEAMANNOUNCE-26LJAMES23-1018
Sep 27, 2026: Before Sep 27, 2026
kalshi · KXNBATEAMANNOUNCE-26LJAMES23-927
Aug 30, 2026: Before Aug 30, 2026
kalshi · KXNBATEAMANNOUNCE-26LJAMES23-830
Aug 23, 2026: Before Aug 23, 2026
kalshi · KXNBATEAMANNOUNCE-26LJAMES23-823
Aug 2, 2026: Before Aug 2, 2026
kalshi · KXNBATEAMANNOUNCE-26LJAMES23-802
Jul 26, 2026: Before Jul 26, 2026
kalshi · KXNBATEAMANNOUNCE-26LJAMES23-726
Aug 9, 2026: Before Aug 9, 2026
kalshi · KXNBATEAMANNOUNCE-26LJAMES23-809
Jul 19, 2026: Before Jul 19, 2026
kalshi · KXNBATEAMANNOUNCE-26LJAMES23-719
Aug 16, 2026: Before Aug 16, 2026
kalshi · KXNBATEAMANNOUNCE-26LJAMES23-816
Jul 17, 2026: Before Jul 17, 2026
kalshi · KXNBATEAMANNOUNCE-26LJAMES23-717
Jul 15, 2026: Before Jul 15, 2026
kalshi · KXNBATEAMANNOUNCE-26LJAMES23-715
Jul 13, 2026: Before Jul 13, 2026
kalshi · KXNBATEAMANNOUNCE-26LJAMES23-713
Jul 11, 2026: Before Jul 11, 2026
kalshi · KXNBATEAMANNOUNCE-26LJAMES23-711
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 76% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.