Yes · KXANTIWEPTAX-27JAN01
Yes is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
13¢ current
−10¢Contract brief
If legislation imposing a state tax, levy, or clawback at an effective rate of 100% on payments, distributions, or compensation received by that state's residents or taxpayers from the federal Anti-Weaponization Fund has become law in any state before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Yes
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXANTIWEPTAX-27JAN01
Jun 26, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$14K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation imposing a state tax, levy, or clawback at an effective rate of 100% on payments, distributions, or compensation received by that state's residents or taxpayers from the federal Anti-Weaponization Fund has become law in any state before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXANTIWEPTAX-27JAN01
Event family
KXANTIWEPTAX-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Yes 13¢
Current share
—
Yes
kalshi · KXANTIWEPTAX-27JAN01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.