Argentina score at least 10 goals in the full tournament of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
10+ goals is priced at 80¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 38¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside Will Argentina score at least 1.
Price history
80¢ current
+36¢Contract brief
If Argentina records at least 10 goals during the full tournament (including regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
10+ goals
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
10+ goals 60¢
Range
21¢-60¢
Family volume
$208
Identifier
KXWCTEAMTOTALGOALS-26ARG-10
Jun 25, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
60¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
38¢
Reported volume
$241
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · Will Argentina score at least 1
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$208
Orderbook snapshot
60 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Argentina records at least 10 goals during the full tournament (including regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMTOTALGOALS-26ARG-10
Event family
Will Argentina score at least 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$208
Outcomes
5
Highest price
10+ goals 60¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.