Argentina score at least 12 goals in the full tournament of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
12+ goals is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 77¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside Will Argentina score at least 1.
Price history
91¢ current
+66¢Contract brief
If Argentina records at least 12 goals during the full tournament (including regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
12+ goals
Rank
#2 of 5
Leader
14+ goals 78¢
Range
25¢-78¢
Family volume
$2
Identifier
KXWCTEAMTOTALGOALS-26ARG-12
Jun 27, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
77¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
14¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 5
5 outcomes · Will Argentina score at least 1
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$2
Orderbook snapshot
77 / 91¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Argentina records at least 12 goals during the full tournament (including regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMTOTALGOALS-26ARG-12
Event family
Will Argentina score at least 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2
Outcomes
5
Highest price
14+ goals 78¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.