Argentina score over 2.5 goals
Argentina over 2.5 goals is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN27JORARG.
Price history
50¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Argentina records above 2.5 goals in the Jordan vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Argentina over 2.5 goals
Rank
#3 of 9
Leader
Argentina over 0.5 goals 92¢
Range
2¢-92¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN27JORARG-ARG3
Jun 25, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
49¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#3 of 9
9 outcomes · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN27JORARG
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
49 / 50¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Argentina records above 2.5 goals in the Jordan vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN27JORARG-ARG3
Event family
KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN27JORARG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Argentina over 0.5 goals 92¢
Current share
58%
Argentina over 0.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN27JORARG-ARG1
Argentina over 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN27JORARG-ARG2
Argentina over 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN27JORARG-ARG3
Jordan over 0.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN27JORARG-JOR1
Argentina over 3.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN27JORARG-ARG4
Argentina over 4.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN27JORARG-ARG5
Jordan over 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN27JORARG-JOR2
Argentina over 5.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN27JORARG-ARG6
Jordan over 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN27JORARG-JOR3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.