Ariana Grande · KXROLLINGSTONECOVER-27
Ariana Grande is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside KXROLLINGSTONECOVER-27.
Price history
15¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If it is announced that Ariana Grande is on the cover of Rolling Stone, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ariana Grande
Rank
#4 of 7
Leader
Harry Styles 55¢
Range
5¢-55¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXROLLINGSTONECOVER-27-ARI
Sep 17, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$387
Family rank
#4 of 7
7 outcomes · KXROLLINGSTONECOVER-27
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If it is announced that Ariana Grande is on the cover of Rolling Stone, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXROLLINGSTONECOVER-27-ARI
Event family
KXROLLINGSTONECOVER-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Harry Styles 55¢
Current share
—
Harry Styles
kalshi · KXROLLINGSTONECOVER-27-HAR
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXROLLINGSTONECOVER-27-TAY
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXROLLINGSTONECOVER-27-BAD
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXROLLINGSTONECOVER-27-ARI
Leonardo DiCaprio
kalshi · KXROLLINGSTONECOVER-27-LEO
Lady Gaga
kalshi · KXROLLINGSTONECOVER-27-LAD
Timothée Chalamet
kalshi · KXROLLINGSTONECOVER-27-TIM
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.