Ariana Grande have above 150000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026
Above 150K is priced at 92¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 89¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside Will Ariana Grande have above.
Price history
92¢ current
+87¢Contract brief
If petal by Ariana Grande has above 150K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 150K
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Above 100K 92¢
Range
1¢-92¢
Family volume
$185
Identifier
KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-150K
May 28, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
89¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Ariana Grande have above
Closes
Aug 9, 2026
Family volume
$185
Orderbook snapshot
89 / 95¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If petal by Ariana Grande has above 150K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 9, 2026
Identifier
KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-150K
Event family
Will Ariana Grande have above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$185
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 100K 92¢
Current share
0%
Above 100K
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-100K
Above 150K
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-150K
Above 200K
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-200K
Above 250K
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-250K
Above 300K
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-300K
Above 350K
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-350K
Above 400K
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-400K
Above 450K
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-450K
Above 600K
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-600K
Above 1M
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-1.0M
Above 500K
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-500K
Above 550K
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-550K
Above 750K
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-750K
Above 650K
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-650K
Above 700K
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-700K
Above 800K
kalshi · KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06-800K
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.