petal · KXALBUMDEBUT-26AUG15-PET
petal is priced at 97¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 94¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
97¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If petal is the #1 album on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
petal
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$235
Identifier
KXALBUMDEBUT-26AUG15-PET
Jun 27, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
94¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$235
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Aug 10, 2026
Family volume
$235
Orderbook snapshot
94 / 96¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If petal is the #1 album on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 10, 2026
Identifier
KXALBUMDEBUT-26AUG15-PET
Event family
KXALBUMDEBUT-26AUG15-PET.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$235
Outcomes
1
Highest price
petal 94¢
Current share
100%
petal
kalshi · KXALBUMDEBUT-26AUG15-PET
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 97% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.