Arizona · KXMARMADSEED-27T5
Arizona is priced at 66¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 26¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXMARMADSEED-27T5.
Price history
66¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If the Arizona men's college basketball team is selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Arizona
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Duke 78¢
Range
3¢-78¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXMARMADSEED-27T5-ARIZ
Sep 24, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
53¢
Ask
79¢
Spread
26¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMARMADSEED-27T5
Closes
May 2, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
53 / 79¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Arizona men's college basketball team is selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 2, 2027
Identifier
KXMARMADSEED-27T5-ARIZ
Event family
KXMARMADSEED-27T5.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Duke 78¢
Current share
—
Duke
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-DUKE
UConn
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-CONN
Houston
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-HOU
Arizona
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-ARIZ
Louisville
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-LOU
Virginia
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-UVA
Texas Tech
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-TTU
St. John's
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-SJU
Miami (FL)
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-MIA
Villanova
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-VILL
Marquette
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-MARQ
Virginia Tech
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-VT
Clemson
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-CLEM
NC St.
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-NCST
Creighton
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-CREI
BYU
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T5-BYU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 66% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.