Armando Gonzalez · KXWCAWARD-26BYP
Armando Gonzalez is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 29¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 15 inside KXWCAWARD-26BYP.
Price history
30¢ current
Contract brief
If Armando Gonzalez wins the Best Young Player Award in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Armando Gonzalez
Rank
#2 of 15
Leader
Lamine Yamal 55¢
Range
1¢-55¢
Family volume
$16K
Identifier
KXWCAWARD-26BYP-AGONZA
Jun 26, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
29¢
24h volume
$2
Family rank
#2 of 15
15 outcomes · KXWCAWARD-26BYP
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Family volume
$16K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Armando Gonzalez wins the Best Young Player Award in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
KXWCAWARD-26BYP-AGONZA
Event family
KXWCAWARD-26BYP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$16K
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Lamine Yamal 55¢
Current share
0%
Lamine Yamal
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-LYAMA
Armando Gonzalez
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-AGONZA
Yan Diomande
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-YDIOM
Desire Doue
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-DDOUE
Dean Huijsen
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-DHUIJ
Kobbie Mainoo
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-KMAIN
Pau Cubarsi
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-PCUBA
Nico O'Reilly
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-NOREI
Lennart Karl
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-LKARL
Endrick
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-ENDRI
Ayyoub Bouaddi
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-ABOUA
Arda Guler
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-AGULE
Luka Vuskovic
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-LVUSK
Max Dowman
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-MODWM
Warren Zaire-Emery
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-WZAIR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 30% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.