Lamine Yamal · KXWCAWARD-26BYP
Lamine Yamal is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXWCAWARD-26BYP.
Price history
46¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Lamine Yamal wins the Best Young Player Award in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Lamine Yamal
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Lamine Yamal 42¢
Range
1¢-42¢
Family volume
$41K
Identifier
KXWCAWARD-26BYP-LYAMA
Jul 13, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 58m ago
Implied probability
Bid
44¢
Ask
46¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$27K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCAWARD-26BYP
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Family volume
$41K
Orderbook snapshot
44 / 46¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lamine Yamal wins the Best Young Player Award in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
KXWCAWARD-26BYP-LYAMA
Event family
KXWCAWARD-26BYP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$41K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Lamine Yamal 42¢
Current share
66%
Lamine Yamal
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-LYAMA
Desire Doue
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-DDOUE
Pau Cubarsi
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-PCUBA
Ayyoub Bouaddi
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-ABOUA
Nico O'Reilly
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-NOREI
Gilberto Mora
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-GMORA
Endrick
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-ENDRI
Johan Manzambi
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-JMANZ
Alex Freeman
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-AFREE
Armando Gonzalez
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-AGONZA
Arda Guler
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-AGULE
Antonio Nusa
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-ANUSA
Assan Ouedraogo
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-AOUED
Dean Huijsen
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-DHUIJ
Kobbie Mainoo
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-KMAIN
Lennart Karl
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26BYP-LKARL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.