AshLeigh Dunham · KXALSUPREME8-26NOV03
AshLeigh Dunham is priced at 10¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXALSUPREME8-26NOV03.
Price history
10¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If AshLeigh Dunham wins the 2026 Alabama Supreme Court Justice, Place 8 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
AshLeigh Dunham
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Greg Shaw 85¢
Range
5¢-85¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXALSUPREME8-26NOV03-ADUN
Sep 25, 2026, 8:09 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXALSUPREME8-26NOV03
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If AshLeigh Dunham wins the 2026 Alabama Supreme Court Justice, Place 8 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXALSUPREME8-26NOV03-ADUN
Event family
KXALSUPREME8-26NOV03.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Greg Shaw 85¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.