SimpleFunctions

Ashton Jeanty · KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1500

Ashton Jeanty is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1500.

Price history

17¢ current

2¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jul 19, 2026Jul 31, 2026

Contract brief

If Ashton Jeanty records 1500+ rushing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Ashton Jeanty

Rank

#8 of 16

Leader

Derrick Henry 20¢

Range

3¢-20¢

Family volume

$7

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1500-AJEANTY2

Aug 14, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 39m ago

Implied probability

17¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 14, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 39m ago

Bid

Ask

17¢

Spread

12¢

Reported volume

$322

Family rank

#8 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1500

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$7

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 17¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
5¢15
4¢1.5K
AskSize
17¢77
18¢391
32¢490
63¢1.3K
82¢49

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Ashton Jeanty records 1500+ rushing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1500-AJEANTY2

SF Signal
SF Index
2018.02
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4036.0%

IY (No)

11.2%

Adj IY

2018%

CRI

19

Overround

0.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4036.0%
11.2%
Adj IY
2018%
19
Overround
0.4%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.