SimpleFunctions

James Cook III · KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1500

James Cook III is priced at 24¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1500.

Price history

24¢ current

+6¢
20¢
Aug 17, 2026Aug 25, 2026

Contract brief

If James Cook III records 1500+ rushing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

James Cook III

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Jonathan Taylor 20¢

Range

3¢-20¢

Family volume

$420

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1500-JCOOK4

Aug 26, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

24¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Aug 26, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

17¢

Ask

31¢

Spread

14¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1500

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$420

Orderbook snapshot

17 / 31¢

Kalshi
14¢ spread
BidSize
17¢5
16¢25
15¢400
AskSize
31¢5
32¢800
33¢500
34¢300
47¢90

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If James Cook III records 1500+ rushing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1500-JCOOK4

SF Signal
SF Index
556.70
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1113.4%

IY (No)

46.7%

Adj IY

557%

CRI

5

Overround

0.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1113.4%
46.7%
Adj IY
557%
5
Overround
0.5%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.