At least 3 teams in the Big 12 win at least 10 games in the 2026 college football regular season
3+ teams is priced at 44¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 43¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Will at least.
Price history
44¢ current
+42¢Contract brief
If at least 3 teams in the Big 12 win 10+ games in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
3+ teams
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
1+ team 95¢
Range
45¢-95¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNCAAFBIG12WINS-26W10-3
Aug 17, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
45¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
43¢
Reported volume
$239
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · Will at least
Closes
Jan 7, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
45 / 88¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If at least 3 teams in the Big 12 win 10+ games in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 7, 2027
Identifier
KXNCAAFBIG12WINS-26W10-3
Event family
Will at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
3
Highest price
1+ team 95¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
Read 44% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.