At least 5 teams in the Big Ten win at least 10 games in the 2026 college football regular season
5+ teams is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 21¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside Will at least.
Price history
11¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If at least 5 teams in the Big Ten win 10+ games in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
5+ teams
Rank
#2 of 5
Leader
3+ teams 77¢
Range
1¢-77¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNCAAFBIGTENWINS-26W10-5
Sep 21, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
21¢
Spread
21¢
Reported volume
$530
Family rank
#2 of 5
5 outcomes · Will at least
Closes
Jan 7, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 21¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If at least 5 teams in the Big Ten win 10+ games in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 7, 2027
Identifier
KXNCAAFBIGTENWINS-26W10-5
Event family
Will at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
5
Highest price
3+ teams 77¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 11% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.