Auburn win at least 8 games this season
8+ wins is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 8 inside Will Auburn win at least.
Price history
43¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If the Auburn college football team has at least 8 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
8+ wins
Rank
#4 of 8
Leader
5+ wins 83¢
Range
4¢-83¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26AUB-8
Aug 26, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
42¢
Ask
43¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$877
Family rank
#4 of 8
8 outcomes · Will Auburn win at least
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
42 / 43¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Auburn college football team has at least 8 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26AUB-8
Event family
Will Auburn win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
5+ wins 83¢
Current share
55%
5+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26AUB-5
6+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26AUB-6
7+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26AUB-7
8+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26AUB-8
9+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26AUB-9
10+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26AUB-10
12 wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26AUB-12
11+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26AUB-11
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.