Average gas prices above $3.900
Above 3.900 is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 15 inside Will average gas prices be above $3.
Price history
28¢ current
−10¢Contract brief
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.900 on Jun 29, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 3.900
Rank
#13 of 15
Leader
Above 3.740 99¢
Range
10¢-99¢
Family volume
$20K
Identifier
KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.900
Jun 22, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
30¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#13 of 15
15 outcomes · Will average gas prices be above $3
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Family volume
$20K
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 30¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.900 on Jun 29, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Identifier
KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.900
Event family
Will average gas prices be above $3.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$20K
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Above 3.740 99¢
Current share
6%
Above 3.740
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.740
Above 3.660
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.660
Above 3.720
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.720
Above 3.700
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.700
Above 3.680
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.680
Above 3.780
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.780
Above 3.760
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.760
Above 3.800
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.800
Above 3.820
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.820
Above 3.840
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.840
Above 3.860
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.860
Above 3.880
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.880
Above 3.900
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.900
Above 3.920
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.920
Above 3.940
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26JUN29-3.940
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.