Will Babydoll be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 38% probability that Will Babydoll be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that .... This contract trades at 38¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the theoretical 329.8% implied yield on the Yes side.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the theoretical 329.8% implied yield on the Yes side. The 16¢ spread is notably wide relative to the price, and the neutral regime score suggests no clear directional conviction from market participants. With 258 days to expiry and a song that would need to achieve a very specific ranking outcome (exactly #2 globally on Spotify Wrapped 2026), the lack of trading activity suggests either very low conviction about "Babydoll's" streaming prospects or insufficient market awareness of this niche prediction.
Resolution rules
If Babydoll is the #2 most streamed Song on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-BAB yes 100