Hike 25bps · Will Bank of Canada Hike rates
Hike 25bps is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 77¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Will Bank of Canada Hike rates.
Price history
16¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 25bps at its Sep 2, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Hike 25bps
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Maintains rate 83¢
Range
3¢-83¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXCBDECISIONCANADA-26SEP-H25
Jun 27, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
80¢
Spread
77¢
Reported volume
$647
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Will Bank of Canada Hike rates
Closes
Sep 2, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 80¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 25bps at its Sep 2, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 2, 2026
Identifier
KXCBDECISIONCANADA-26SEP-H25
Event family
Will Bank of Canada Hike rates.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Maintains rate 83¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
political
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.