SimpleFunctions

Will BE HER be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: BE HER · KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15

Will BE HER be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: BE HER is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 81¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 12 inside KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15.

Price history

90¢ current

+80¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Aug 2, 2026Aug 9, 2026

Contract brief

If BE HER is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will BE HER be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: BE HER

Rank

#9 of 12

Leader

Will Been By Now be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: Been By Now 99¢

Range

2¢-99¢

Family volume

$21

Identifier

KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15-BEH

Aug 10, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

90¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 10, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

81¢

Ask

90¢

Spread

24h volume

$1

Family rank

#9 of 12

12 outcomes · KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15

Closes

Aug 10, 2026

Family volume

$21

Orderbook snapshot

81 / 90¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
81¢20
80¢100
60¢21
20¢1
11¢46
AskSize
90¢102
97¢1
99¢101

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If BE HER is Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 10, 2026

Identifier

KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15-BEH

SF Signal
SF Index
50000.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$21

Outcomes

12

Highest price

Will Been By Now be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: Been By Now 99¢

Current share

5%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Will Been By Now be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: Been By Now

kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15-BEE

99¢
$0$0

Will Boston be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: Boston

kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15-BOS

99¢
$0$0

Will Choosin' Texas be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: Choosin' Texas

kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15-CHO

99¢
$0$0

Will hate that i made you love me be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: hate that i made you love me

kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15-HAT

99¢
$0$0

Will I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE

kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15-ICA

99¢
$0$0

Will I Knew It, I Knew You be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: I Knew It, I Knew You

kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15-IKN

99¢
$0$0

Will petal be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: petal

kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15-PET

99¢
$0$0

Will So Easy (To Fall In Love) be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: So Easy (To Fall In Love)

kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15-SOE

92¢
$20$20

Will BE HER be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: BE HER

kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15-BEH

81¢
$1$1

Will I Just Might be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: I Just Might

kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15-IJU

15¢
$0$00.1

Will Risk It All be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: Risk It All

kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15-RIS

5¢
$0$0

Will Man I Need be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: Man I Need

kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26AUG15-MAN

2¢
$0$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

4

Overround

0.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4
Overround
0.9%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.