New Balance · Will Ben Shelton sign a partnership with
New Balance is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside Will Ben Shelton sign a partnership with.
Price history
66¢ current
+65¢Contract brief
If New Balance officially announces a partnership with Ben Shelton after issuance and before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
New Balance
Rank
#1 of 6
Leader
New Balance 59¢
Range
1¢-59¢
Family volume
$108
Identifier
KXPLAYERDEAL-27MAYBSHE-NB
Sep 18, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
64¢
Ask
71¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$89
Family rank
#1 of 6
6 outcomes · Will Ben Shelton sign a partnership with
Closes
May 8, 2027
Family volume
$108
Orderbook snapshot
64 / 71¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If New Balance officially announces a partnership with Ben Shelton after issuance and before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 8, 2027
Identifier
KXPLAYERDEAL-27MAYBSHE-NB
Event family
Will Ben Shelton sign a partnership with.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$108
Outcomes
6
Highest price
New Balance 59¢
Current share
8%
New Balance
kalshi · KXPLAYERDEAL-27MAYBSHE-NB
Nike
kalshi · KXPLAYERDEAL-27MAYBSHE-NIKE
Lululemon
kalshi · KXPLAYERDEAL-27MAYBSHE-LULU
Adidas
kalshi · KXPLAYERDEAL-27MAYBSHE-ADI
Alo
kalshi · KXPLAYERDEAL-27MAYBSHE-ALO
Ralph Lauren
kalshi · KXPLAYERDEAL-27MAYBSHE-RL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 66% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.