Bethany E Mann · KXMOPRIMARY-03D26
Bethany E Mann is priced at 92¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 86¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside KXMOPRIMARY-03D26.
Price history
92¢ current
+53¢Contract brief
If Bethany E Mann wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-03 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Bethany E Mann
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Bethany E Mann 86¢
Range
1¢-86¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXMOPRIMARY-03D26-BMAN
Jun 24, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
86¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$5
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · KXMOPRIMARY-03D26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
86 / 91¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bethany E Mann wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-03 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMOPRIMARY-03D26-BMAN
Event family
KXMOPRIMARY-03D26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Bethany E Mann 86¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.