SimpleFunctions

Bijan Robinson · KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1000

Bijan Robinson is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 41¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1000.

Price history

45¢ current

+33¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jul 27, 2026Aug 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Bijan Robinson records 1000+ rushing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bijan Robinson

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Saquon Barkley 59¢

Range

2¢-59¢

Family volume

$216

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1000-BROBINSON7

Aug 26, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

45¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 26, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

31¢

Ask

72¢

Spread

41¢

Reported volume

$42

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1000

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$216

Orderbook snapshot

31 / 72¢

Kalshi
41¢ spread
BidSize
31¢20
30¢20
16¢50
4¢282
2¢130
AskSize
72¢150
73¢492
74¢75
75¢92
85¢300

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bijan Robinson records 1000+ rushing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1000-BROBINSON7

SF Signal
SF Index
508.44
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

508.4%

IY (No)

102.6%

Adj IY

508%

CRI

2

RV

1342%

VR

7.18

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

508.4%
102.6%
Adj IY
508%
2
RV
1342%
VR
7.18
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
4.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.