SimpleFunctions

Bilibili Gaming · KXLOL-MSI26

Bilibili Gaming is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 11 inside KXLOL-MSI26.

Price history

28¢ current

+18¢
25¢
Jun 15, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Bilibili Gaming is the 2026 League of Legends MSI champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bilibili Gaming

Rank

#3 of 11

Leader

Hanwha Life Esports 37¢

Range

1¢-37¢

Family volume

$15K

Identifier

KXLOL-MSI26-BLG

Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

28¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

28¢

Ask

29¢

Spread

24h volume

$861

Family rank

#3 of 11

11 outcomes · KXLOL-MSI26

Closes

Jul 27, 2026

Family volume

$15K

Orderbook snapshot

28 / 29¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
28¢1.4K
27¢497
23¢3.4K
22¢500
9¢200
AskSize
29¢5
34¢18
35¢19
36¢118
37¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bilibili Gaming is the 2026 League of Legends MSI champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 27, 2026

Identifier

KXLOL-MSI26-BLG

SF Signal
SF Index
2530.83
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2952.8%

IY (No)

446.6%

Adj IY

2531%

CRI

3

RV

319%

VR

0.55

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2952.8%
446.6%
Adj IY
2531%
3
RV
319%
VR
0.55
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
0.0%
LAS
0.14

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.