SimpleFunctions

Black Coffee · KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC

Black Coffee is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC.

Price history

16¢ current

15¢20¢
Jul 31, 2026Jul 31, 2026

Contract brief

If Black Coffee is a Top 10 DJ on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Black Coffee

Rank

#9 of 16

Leader

David Guetta 92¢

Range

1¢-92¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-BLA

Jul 31, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

16¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 31, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

Ask

16¢

Spread

12¢

Reported volume

$29

Family rank

#9 of 16

16 outcomes · KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 16¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
4¢75
3¢140
2¢200
AskSize
16¢23
18¢200
56¢376
58¢863
65¢413

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Black Coffee is a Top 10 DJ on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-BLA

SF Signal
SF Index
2864.41
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5728.8%

IY (No)

9.9%

Adj IY

2864%

CRI

24

Overround

8.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5728.8%
9.9%
Adj IY
2864%
24
Overround
8.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.