Will Steve Aoki be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 63% across 11 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
63%
11 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
11 contracts
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
148 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
11 clusters across 11 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Afrojack be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Afrojack be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Afrojack
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-AFR
Cluster 2
Will Alok be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Alok be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Alok
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-ALO
Cluster 3
Will Anyma be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Anyma be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Anyma
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-ANY
Cluster 4
Will Armin Van Buuren be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Armin Van Buuren be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Armin Van Buuren
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-ARM
Cluster 5
Will Black Coffee be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Black Coffee be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Black Coffee
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-BLA
Cluster 6
Will Calvin Harris be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Calvin Harris be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Calvin Harris
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-CAL
Cluster 7
Will Charlotte de Witte be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Charlotte de Witte be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Charlotte de Witte
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-CHAR
Cluster 8
Will David Guetta be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will David Guetta be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: David Guetta
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-DAV
Cluster 9
Will Dimitri Vegas & Like Mike be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Cluster 10
Will Don Diablo be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Don Diablo be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Don Diablo
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-DON
Cluster 11
Will FISHER be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will FISHER be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: FISHER
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-FIS
Analysis
This represents a 63% probability that Steve Aoki will place in the top 10 of DJ Mag's annual Top 100 DJs ranking. The current level reflects Aoki's established popularity and touring presence against uncertainty about voting patterns and competition from other prominent DJs. His ranking depends primarily on voting metrics from DJ Mag readers and industry voters, which shift year-to-year based on artist visibility, releases, and event participation. The main catalyst is the publication of DJ Mag's Top 100 ranking, typically released in late fall, which will definitively settle whether Aoki achieves top-10 status. Historical rankings show volatility in mid-tier positions, suggesting meaningful uncertainty even for established artists.
- ›Steve Aoki's chart position in DJ Mag's previous 3-5 annual rankings provides baseline data on stability or volatility of his standing
- ›Comparative positioning of similar artists on current Kalshi contracts (Afrojack at 60%, Anyma at 78%) indicates relative market assessment of Aoki's competitiveness
- ›DJ Mag voting methodology weights reader votes and industry input, which can shift based on media coverage and release activity during the voting period
- ›The binary nature of top-10 placement means small ranking changes (11th vs 10th) create significant probability swings despite similar competitive position
- ›DJ Mag Top 100 rankings are typically published in late September/October, representing the primary event that resolves this contract
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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