Will Steve Aoki be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 56% across 16 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
56%
16 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$166
16 contracts
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
236 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
16 clusters across 16 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will John Summit be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will John Summit be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: John Summit
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-JOH
Cluster 2
Will David Guetta be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will David Guetta be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: David Guetta
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-DAV
Cluster 3
Will Martin Garrix be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Martin Garrix be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Martin Garrix
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-MAR
Cluster 4
Will Alok be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Alok be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Alok
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-ALO
Cluster 5
Will Dimitri Vegas & Like Mike be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Cluster 6
Will Armin Van Buuren be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Armin Van Buuren be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Armin Van Buuren
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-ARM
Cluster 7
Will Timmy Trumpet be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Timmy Trumpet be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Timmy Trumpet
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-TIM
Cluster 8
Will FISHER be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will FISHER be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: FISHER
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-FIS
Cluster 9
Will Afrojack be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Afrojack be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Afrojack
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-AFR
Cluster 10
Will Charlotte de Witte be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Charlotte de Witte be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Charlotte de Witte
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-CHAR
Cluster 11
Will Anyma be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Anyma be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Anyma
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-ANY
Cluster 12
Will Vintage Culture be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Vintage Culture be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Vintage Culture
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-VINI
Cluster 13
Will Peggy Gou be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Peggy Gou be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Peggy Gou
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-PEG
Cluster 14
Will Don Diablo be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Don Diablo be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Don Diablo
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-DON
Cluster 15
Will Calvin Harris be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Calvin Harris be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Calvin Harris
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-CAL
Cluster 16
Will Black Coffee be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's
Will Black Coffee be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?: Black Coffee
KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-BLA
Analysis
This prediction asks whether Steve Aoki will rank in the top 10 of DJ Mag's annual Top 100 DJs list. The 51% probability indicates near-parity between those expecting him to achieve this ranking and those who don't. Aoki's current standing, recent chart performance, and voting patterns from previous years significantly influence this forecast. The main factors at play are his streaming numbers and cultural relevance relative to competing electronic music artists, as well as DJ Mag's editorial selection process, which blends reader voting with expert judgment. The primary catalyst resolving this uncertainty will be DJ Mag's publication of their next annual rankings, typically released in a specific month. Historical positioning suggests Aoki remains a prominent figure in electronic music, but competitive pressure from emerging and established producers affects his likelihood of maintaining or reaching top-10 status.
- ›Steve Aoki's streaming rank and annual listener count on major platforms relative to other top electronic music DJs
- ›His placement in the previous DJ Mag Top 100 list and the historical volatility of his position year-over-year
- ›Release of new music or high-profile collaborations between now and the publication date that could influence voter perception
- ›DJ Mag voting methodology changes or shifts in the electronic music fanbase's preferences
- ›The scheduled publication date of DJ Mag's next Top 100 DJs ranking list
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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