Before October · Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before
Before October is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before.
Price history
3¢ current
−70¢Contract brief
If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before October
Rank
#4 of 7
Leader
Before 2027 16¢
Range
1¢-16¢
Family volume
$768
Identifier
KXNEWGLENN-262-OCT
Jun 23, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
#4 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Family volume
$768
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Identifier
KXNEWGLENN-262-OCT
Event family
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$768
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Before 2027 16¢
Current share
0%
Before 2027
kalshi · KXNEWGLENN-272-JAN
Before December
kalshi · KXNEWGLENN-262-DEC
Before November
kalshi · KXNEWGLENN-262-NOV
Before October
kalshi · KXNEWGLENN-262-OCT
Before September
kalshi · KXNEWGLENN-262-SEP
Before August
kalshi · KXNEWGLENN-262-AUG
Before July
kalshi · KXNEWGLENN-262-JUL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.