Bob Cohen receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 House election
At least 7% is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 7 inside Will Bob Cohen receive at least.
Price history
12¢ current
Contract brief
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bob Cohen in the 2026 NY-13 House election is 7% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 7%
Rank
#6 of 7
Leader
At least 1% 8¢
Range
4¢-8¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-NY13-26BCOH-7
Sep 23, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$35
Family rank
#6 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Bob Cohen receive at least
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bob Cohen in the 2026 NY-13 House election is 7% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-NY13-26BCOH-7
Event family
Will Bob Cohen receive at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
At least 1% 8¢
Current share
—
At least 1%
kalshi · KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-NY13-26BCOH-1
At least 3%
kalshi · KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-NY13-26BCOH-3
At least 4%
kalshi · KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-NY13-26BCOH-4
At least 5%
kalshi · KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-NY13-26BCOH-5
At least 6%
kalshi · KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-NY13-26BCOH-6
At least 7%
kalshi · KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-NY13-26BCOH-7
At least 2%
kalshi · KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-NY13-26BCOH-2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.